Business Optimism Index jumps to three year high

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Published Date 12/10/2024

Today's Mortgage Rate Summary

How Rates Move:

Conventional and Government (FHA and VA) lenders set their rates based on the pricing of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) which are traded in real time, all day in the bond market. This means rates or loan fees (mortgage pricing) moves throughout the day, being affected by a variety of economic or political events. When MBS pricing goes up, mortgage rates or pricing generally goes down. When they fall, mortgage pricing goes up.

Rates Currently Trending: Neutral

Mortgage rates are moving sideways today. The MBS market worsened by -17 bps yesterday. This was not enough to increase mortgage rates or fees. The market experienced low volatility yesterday.

Today's Rate Forecast: Neutral

Optimism: The November NFIB Business Optimism Index jumped to 101.7 from 93.7 which is a 3 year high.

Manufacturing: The revised 3rd QTR Non Farm Productivity remained at 2.2% even though Unit Labor Costs were revised lower from 1.9% down to 0.8%.

Auction: We kick off three days of dumping our debt into the marketplace with today's shorter term 3 year note.

Central Banks: The Reserve Bank of Australia bucked the trend of CBs cutting rates and kept their key interest rate unchanged at 4.35%.

Today's Potential Rate Volatility: Neutral

This morning markets are trading within a narrow channel. Volatility has started at moderate levels on the manufacturing data.

Bottom Line:

If you are looking for the risks and benefits of locking your interest rate in today or floating your loan rate, contact your mortgage professional to discuss it with them.

Source: TBWS

All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.

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All rates, fees and programs are subject to change without notice.