Market volatility increases on international concerns

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Published Date 12/3/2024

Today's Mortgage Rate Summary

How Rates Move:

Conventional and Government (FHA and VA) lenders set their rates based on the pricing of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) which are traded in real time, all day in the bond market. This means rates or loan fees (mortgage pricing) moves throughout the day, being affected by a variety of economic or political events. When MBS pricing goes up, mortgage rates or pricing generally goes down. When they fall, mortgage pricing goes up.

Rates Currently Trending: Neutral

Mortgage rates are moving sideways today. The MBS market worsened by -7 bps yesterday. This was not enough to increase mortgage rates or fees. The market experienced moderate volatility yesterday.

Today's Rate Forecast: Neutral

Jobs: We will get the October Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) at 10 am ET. It is expected to remain very close to September's level of 7.4M and some change. It was reported at 7.7M.

The Fed: We will hear from Goolsbee and Kugler today.

Geopolitical: South Korea has declared an Emergency Martial Law as the opposition party, claimed to be Pro-North Korean was providing resistance to the basic governance. France also has a government that may topple by tomorrow as there is a "no confidence" vote schedule in their Parliament which could oust the current Prime Minister.

Today's Potential Rate Volatility: Neutral

This morning markets some initial support on the international uncertainty. Volatility has started at moderate levels.

Bottom Line:

If you are looking for the risks and benefits of locking your interest rate in today or floating your loan rate, contact your mortgage professional to discuss it with them.

Source: TBWS

All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.

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All rates, fees and programs are subject to change without notice.