Published Date 5/14/2024
Conventional and Government (FHA and VA) lenders set their rates based on the pricing of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) which are traded in real time, all day in the bond market. This means rates or loan fees (mortgage pricing) moves throughout the day, being affected by a variety of economic or political events. When MBS pricing goes up, mortgage rates or pricing generally goes down. When they fall, mortgage pricing goes up.
Mortgage rates are getting a little support today. The MBS market improved by +5 bps yesterday. This was not enough to decrease mortgage rates or fees. The market experienced low volatility yesterday.
Inflation: The April headline Producer Price Index appeared to be much hotter than expected, rising 0.5% on a MOM basis versus estimates of 0.2%. However, that beat was mostly due to a downward revision in March from +0.2% down to -0.1%. YOY, it matched expectations at 2.2%. Core PPI (ex food and energy) was the same story on a MOM basis. YOY, it was up 2.4% versus estimates of 2.4%.
Optimism: The April NFIB Business Optimism Index was higher than expected, 89.7 versus estimates of 88.1.
The Fed: We will hear from Fed Chair Powell and Fed Governor Cook today.
This morning markets took the PPI news better than expected with small positive trend. Volatility has started at moderate levels.
If you are looking for the risks and benefits of locking your interest rate in today or floating your loan rate, contact your mortgage professional to discuss it with them.
Source: TBWSAll information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.
NMLS: 51519
Millenium Home Mortgage LLC
1719 Route 10 East, Suite 206, Parsippany NJ
Company NMLS: 51519
Office: 973-402-9112
Email: connie@mhmlender.com
NMLS: 51519
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